Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Stochastic population forecasts using functional data models for mortality, fertility and migration
Age-sex-specific population forecasts are derived through stochastic population renewal using forecasts of mortality, fertility and net migration. Functional data models with time series coefficients are used to model age-specific mortality and fertility rates. As detailed migration data are lacking, net migration by age and sex is estimated as the difference between historic annual population ...
متن کاملDemography and Sociology Program Research School of Social Sciences Stochastic Population Forecasts Using Functional Data Models for Mortality, Fertility and Migration
Age-sex-specific population forecasts are derived through stochastic population renewal using forecasts of mortality, fertility and net migration. Functional data models with time series coefficients are used to model age-specific mortality and fertility rates. As detailed migration data are lacking, net migration by age and sex is estimated as the difference between historic annual population ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Forecasting
سال: 2008
ISSN: 0169-2070
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.02.009